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Showing posts from February, 2018

The Future of Coffee Depends on You(th)

Hedge fund positions in numbers, for weekto February 20

$SB_F Mar rollover to $SB_F May @ $230

SAXO - COT: A fourth week of oil selling despite recovery

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Brazilian farmers hold out for higher #coffee prices

Brazilian coffee farmers see current prices as insufficient to cover costs and have no intention of selling at the moment, despite a looming record crop, producers and market experts told Reuters.
https://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL8N1QD3AH

Short coffee?

Short coffee
Among soft commodities, arabica coffee futures rediscovered forward gears, rebounding 1.7% to 120.90 cents a pound for May delivery, for the first positive session in five.
Headway was helped by a stronger real, which gained 0.6% against the dollar, so boosting the value of assets in which Brazil is a major trading force.
Furthermore, bulls were encouraged by data showing a jump in open interest on Wednesday of 7,519 contracts to 230,077 contracts – fresh positions which, in a falling market, would appear to be short bets.
This provoked ideas of something of an overhang of short coffee bets, with many taken out at low prices, making them vulnerable to any rise in prices.

Brazil’s CooxupĂ©, the world’s largest coffee growers’ co-operative of coffee farmers, forecast that its exports of the bean will grow by 8% to 4.4m bags in 2018, bolstered by rising production.
CooxupĂ©’s chief executive, Carlos Paulino da Costa, told Reuters that the co-operative was expecting deliveries …

SOLD 1 $TMUS Mar16'18 56 PUT @ 0.37

SOLD 1 $HMNY Apr20'18 5 PUT @ 1.25

SOLD 1 $MARA Apr20'18 2.5 PUT @ 0.75

SOLD 1 $RIOT Mar02'18 9 PUT @ 1

SOLD 1 $RIOT Feb23'18 10 PUT @ 0.78

#COFFEE Certified Stock in Ports and Warehouses down -1.3% w-o-w, -3.9% YTD and up 43% YOY

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Managed money open interest -46K contracts, down -10K in a week.


#COCOA Certified Stock in Ports and Warehouses up 5.5% w-o-w, 25% YTD and 9% YOY

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BOUGHT 1 $OSTK Feb23'18 50 PUT @ 0.3

Closing

Tech boom or steady growth?

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Tech boom or steady growth? $NQ_F contract market value is about to surpass $ES_F value first time since 2000 or something in coming days.


SOLD 100 $TWLO @ 31.99

Total short 200 @ 31.58

BOUGHT 100 $LTRPA @ 12.2, cover

SOLD 100 $LTRPA @ 12.85

short

BOUGHT to close 1 $ESTX50 Dec21'18 2600 PUT @ 44.1

SOLD 50 $QQQ @ 161.65

short

SOLD 200 $QUOT @ 12.5

short

SOLD 100 $VECO @ 18.3

short

SOLD 100 TWLO @ $31.2

#Crypto mining projected y-o-y return @ HashFlare, weekly update

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Profitability is off sharply from last week (2/2/2018)

TODAY IN ENERGY: U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions expected to rise slightly in 2018, remain flat in 2019

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TODAY IN ENERGY: Thursday, February 8, 2018U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions expected to rise slightly in 2018, remain flat in 2019EIA estimates that U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions declined by 861 million metric tons (14%) from 2005 to 2017. In the latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, EIA projects that CO2 emissions will rise 1.8%, from 5,143 million metric tons in 2017 to 5,237 million metric tons in 2018, then remain virtually unchanged in 2019. In 2019, energy-related CO2 emissions will be about 13% lower than 2005 levels.See graph and read more...Today in Energy, published every weekday, brings you short, timely articles with graphics on energy facts, issues, and trends. Questions, comments, story suggestions? Email us at todayinenergy@eia.gov.Now you can publish or promote Today in Energy content on your website. Go to our outreach page for banners and badges, and to find widgets with the code that pull each day's Today in Energy

BOUGHT 100 $VXX @ 51

Cover

SOLD 100 $VXX @ 52.0911

Short

BOUGHT 200 $TWTR @ 31.3398

Closed

SOLD another 100 TWTR @ 35

Total pos -200 @ avg px $34

SOLD 100 TWTR @ 33, short

SOLD 1 $ESTX50 Dec21'18 2600 PUT @ 530 EUR

SOLD 1 $VIX Feb13'18 19 CALL @ 1.2

SOLD 1 $INSY Feb16'18 8 PUT @ 0.4

SOLD 1 $VIX Feb06'18 18 CALL @ 1.05

SOLD 1 $OSTK Sep21'18 50 PUT @ 12

SOLD 1 $OSTK Feb23'18 50 PUT @ 2

Crypto mining projected y-o-y return @ HashFlare, weekly update

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SOLD 1 $INSY May18'18 8 PUT @ 1.5

SOLD 1 $RIOT Feb16'18 12.5 PUT @ 1.5

SOLD 1 $INSY Mar16'18 8 PUT @ 0.7

SOLD 1 $KC_F Jul'18 #Coffee 1.15 PUT @ 0.018